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North India to shiver at 3 degrees as La Nina brings colder winter



Impact of La Nina: La Nina could bring harsher winters in major nations around the world.

A weather phenomenon that typically produces harsher winters is on the way and is expected to add to Asia’s energy crisis.

The La Nina pattern, which forms when the equatorial trade winds strengthen to push up colder, deeper water from the seabed, emerged in the Pacific. This usually means below normal temperatures in the northern hemisphere and has prompted regional weather agencies to issue warnings of a freezing winter.

Several countries and in particular China, the largest energy consumer, are grappling with soaring fuel prices and, for some, electricity shortages or supply restrictions in heavy industry. Coal and gas prices are already high, and a harsh winter will add demand for heat that will likely drive further gains.

“We expect temperatures to be colder than normal this winter in northeast Asia,” said Renny Vandewege, vice president of weather operations at data provider DTN. “Weather forecast data is an essential part of predicting the amount of energy required. “

Here is the outlook for some key countries:


Temperatures dropped early last week across much of eastern China and are already colder than usual in parts of the north, according to the country’s National Climate Center. Provinces like Heilongjiang, Shaanxi and Shanxi started the winter heating season four to 13 days earlier than in previous years. Systems controlled by the local government – usually powered by coal or gas – are turned on to heat the homes of residents in many areas.

Extreme weather conditions could occur more regularly due to global warming, according to Zhi Xiefei, professor of atmospheric sciences at Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology. “Cold spells could lead to greater temperature drops, but unusual warm events could also appear,” Zhi said.

The climate center expects the country to enter La Nina conditions this month, the state-run Xinhua news agency said on Saturday.


Japan will likely experience below normal temperatures next month, according to the Japan Meteorological Agency, which previously predicted a 60% chance of a La Nina during the fall-winter period. The nation, which has been relatively isolated from the energy crisis, remains vigilant after last year’s deep freeze that pushed up wholesale electricity prices.


Utilities did not have enough fuel as demand increased last winter, forcing them to purchase expensive shipments of liquefied natural gas on cash. The Commerce Ministry has already met with major electricity, gas and oil companies to prepare for the winter months, and LNG stocks held by Japan’s major electricity providers are currently around 24 hours higher. % of the four-year average.


La Nina: Japan will see below normal temperatures next month affect its storage capacities.

South Korea

South Korea will experience colder weather in the first half of winter and is also expected to be affected by the effects of La Nina, according to the country’s meteorological administration. The country saw its first snowfall of the season 15 days earlier than last year in the middle of an unusually cold October.

The country’s government is already taking steps to boost fuel supply and mitigate the impact of rising prices. Fuel taxes and LNG import tariffs will be temporarily lowered, Deputy Finance Minister Lee Eog-weon said on Friday.


Temperatures in India are expected to drop to 3 degrees Celsius (37 degrees Fahrenheit) in parts of the north in January and February before recovering. Unlike other countries, cooler weather usually results in lower power consumption as the demand for air conditioning decreases.

More importantly, the country expects a drier period after the monsoon ends. Major coal mining areas have suffered flooding in recent months, resulting in a reduction in the supply of fuel used to generate around 70% of the country’s electricity.

Besides the events in La Nina, other factors may impact the region’s winter weather conditions, according to Todd Crawford, director of meteorology at Atmospheric G2. Climate change has resulted in a lack of sea ice in the Kara Sea in the Arctic, which could contribute to the formation of high pressure ridges in this region. This is leading to colder conditions downstream in northeast Asia, “like what happened last winter,” he said.

There are also indications that the polar vortex, a belt of winds that hold cold at the pole, may be weaker than normal in early winter, allowing freezing air to spread southward. Crawford said.

“Putting it all together, we think the best window to a bitter cold in Northeast Asia this winter is between late November and mid-January,” he said. “This is where we think the greatest risk lies.”